Category: Blog

  • Crude oil prices hit it’s highest price in 2 1/2 years

    Crude oil prices hit it’s highest price in 2 1/2 years

    The thinking I guess is that investors are pouring money into renewable energy generation and keeping oil production low. This would keep supply low during current and/or rising demand which will keep the price of oil elevated for the time being. I don’t think anyone can really tell what will happen over the next year…

  • The Yield – Week ending June 11, 2021

    The Yield – Week ending June 11, 2021

    Rebalancing portfolios, pie charts, inflation fears, oil prices, banks & cash, more inflation news, and much much more

  • Inflation surges in May. Highest rate in 13 years

    Inflation surges in May. Highest rate in 13 years

    I still believe this is temporary. This inflation is largely caused by government shutdowns and changes in consumer behavior as we adjust to living post-COVID-19. While short term inflation is a pain it’s the long term effect of behavior and government policy that needs to be monitored. Strap in folks! The U.S. economy’s rebound from…

  • U.S. Banks to business… stop depositing cash

    U.S. Banks to business… stop depositing cash

    Turns out banks can’t make money off hoards of cash if businesses aren’t borrowing that same cash. If I were currently running a business and I’m flush with cash there is virtually no risk to borrowing cash for operations. Interest rates are very low which would allow a business to invest its cash and still…

  • Options traders betting on $100 per barrel oil

    Options traders betting on $100 per barrel oil

    If oil does hit $100/barrel that will not be good for short-term inflationary pressures we’re already seeing. Owners of $100 options—now the most widely owned WTI call contracts on the New York Mercantile Exchange—are making a leveraged bet that oil prices will hurtle higher after already surging more than 40% this year. The roaring rally,…

  • Surge in commodity prices bring inflation fears

    Surge in commodity prices bring inflation fears

    More of the same inflation drum beat that we need to watch. I still think the current spike is temporary due to the novel shutdowns of the world’s economies due to the pandemic. Once things normalize (whatever that looks like) sometime in 2022 I expect inflation in the U.S. to return to pre-pandemic levels. Many…